Bitcoin will CRASH

@ericnomics

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Nookseen in 3 videos →

Why it worked

The video taps into the common fear and uncertainty surrounding cryptocurrency investments by presenting a bearish outlook on Bitcoin, supported by historical data. It then offers a practical solution for managing cash during this uncertain period, making it relatable and valuable to viewers interested in crypto.

Summary

The creator argues that Bitcoin is not yet at its bottom and predicts a further crash based on historical bear market patterns. They are patiently waiting for a better entry price and are currently keeping their cash in Nook, earning passive interest.

Structure

1Bitcoin's current price and historical performance
2Analysis of past bear markets and their duration
3Prediction of future Bitcoin price range based on historical data
4The electrical production cost as a floor price
5Creator's strategy: waiting for a lower price and using Nook for passive income
6Call to action: comment 'Nook' for a link

Original caption

Bitcoin isnt done crashing.   I explain my thought process and thesis behind it Im patiently waiting for my entry. Until then, I am keeping my cash in Nook earning 7.6% on average Get Nook app in my link

More from @ericnomics

Their other posts in the index, biggest breakout first.

Product placement

Bitcoin (cryptocurrency): acts as the subject of the video, with its price performance and potential future crash discussed. Removing it would change the entire video. Nook (app/platform): acts as a place to store cash and earn interest. Removing it would change the video's conclusion and call to action.

Call to action

Comment "Nook" to get the link to the Nook app.

On-screen text

Bitcoin will CRASH THE PEOPLE TELLING YOU TO BUY BITCOIN RIGHT NOW ARE GOING TO LOSE MONEY AND HERE'S WHY I THINK THAT BITCOIN IS DOWN 30% 61,887.20 29.20% YEAR TO DATE -62,054.08 (-50.10%) Oct 6, 2025 - Jun 10, 2026 AND DOWN ABOUT 50% FROM ITS PEAK BUT HERE'S THE THING I DON'T THINK WE'RE IN THE BOTTOM JUST YET NOT EVEN CLOSE BITCOIN PRICED IN GOLD 14 MONTHS 13 MONTHS 14 MONTHS EVERY PREVIOUS BEAR MARKET FROM THE VERY PEAK TO THE VERY BOTTOM TOOK ALMOST EXACTLY ONE YEAR PLUS OR MINUS FEW WEEKS SO IF WE USE THAT SAME EXACT LOGIC THAT MEANS IT'LL BE CLOSER TO AROUND OCTOBER OF 2026 IS WHEN IT'LL BE AROUND ONE YEAR OR SO AND IN PREVIOUS BEAR MARKETS WE SAW IT CRASH 87% 84% 77% 84% 77% SO EACH SUBSEQUENT CRASH GETS SLIGHTLY LESS AND LESS OVER TIME SO THIS CRASH MIGHT BE SAY 60% UH 60% 65% 65% WHICH BRINGS US TO THE PRICE RANGE OF AROUND UPPER $40K TO LOW $50K SO I ALSO HAVE FAIRLY GOOD CERTAINTY FAIRLY GOOD CERTAINTY THAT IS THE SUPPORT LEVEL BECAUSE THAT ALSO HAPPENS TO BE THE ELECTRICAL PRODUCTION COST OF MINING A SINGLE BITCOIN TOO SO IT'S BASICALLY A BUILT IN FLOOR AND THAT MATH WORKS OUT FOR ME SO NO I'M NOT I'M NOT BEARISH ON BITCOIN LONG TERM I'M JUST BEING PATIENT TO MY PRICE RANGE AND I'LL BE LOADING UP THE TRUCK SO UNTIL THEN MY CASH IS SITTING INSIDE NOOK EARNING ME UP TO 7.6% 7.6% PASSIVELY AND INTEREST IS PAID OUT EVERY 16 SECONDS SO IF YOU WANT THE WORD NOOK AND I'LL SEND IT OVER BUT LET ME KNOW WHAT YOU THINK IN THE COMMENTS DO YOU AGREE WITH THE IDEA THAT WE'RE NOT IN THE BOTTOM JUST YET AND IT COULD POTENTIALLY FALL FURTHER OR DO YOU THINK THE BOTTOM IS IN I'D BE REALLY CURIOUS ABOUT THIS SO SEE

Transcript

Bitcoin will CRASH THE PEOPLE TELLING YOU TO BUY BITCOIN RIGHT NOW ARE GOING TO LOSE MONEY AND HERE'S WHY I THINK THAT BITCOIN IS DOWN 30% YEAR TO DATE AND DOWN ABOUT 50% FROM ITS PEAK BUT HERE'S THE THING I DON'T THINK WE'RE IN THE BOTTOM JUST YET NOT EVEN CLOSE EVERY PREVIOUS BEAR MARKET FROM THE VERY PEAK TO THE VERY BOTTOM TOOK ALMOST EXACTLY ONE YEAR PLUS OR MINUS FEW WEEKS SO IF WE USE THAT SAME EXACT LOGIC THAT MEANS IT'LL BE CLOSER TO AROUND OCTOBER OF 2026 IS WHEN IT'LL BE AROUND ONE YEAR OR SO AND IN PREVIOUS BEAR MARKETS WE SAW IT CRASH 87% 84% 77% SO EACH SUBSEQUENT CRASH GETS SLIGHTLY LESS AND LESS OVER TIME SO THIS CRASH MIGHT BE SAY 60% UH 60% 65% WHICH BRINGS US TO THE PRICE RANGE OF AROUND UPPER $40K TO LOW $50K SO I ALSO HAVE FAIRLY GOOD CERTAINTY THAT IS THE SUPPORT LEVEL BECAUSE THAT ALSO HAPPENS TO BE THE ELECTRICAL PRODUCTION COST OF MINING A SINGLE BITCOIN TOO SO IT'S BASICALLY A BUILT IN FLOOR AND THAT MATH WORKS OUT FOR ME SO NO I'M NOT I'M NOT BEARISH ON BITCOIN LONG TERM I'M JUST BEING PATIENT TO MY PRICE RANGE AND I'LL BE LOADING UP THE TRUCK SO UNTIL THEN MY CASH IS SITTING INSIDE NOOK EARNING ME UP TO 7.6% PASSIVELY AND INTEREST IS PAID OUT EVERY 16 SECONDS SO IF YOU WANT THE WORD NOOK AND I'LL SEND IT OVER BUT LET ME KNOW WHAT YOU THINK IN THE COMMENTS DO YOU AGREE WITH THE IDEA THAT WE'RE NOT IN THE BOTTOM JUST YET AND IT COULD POTENTIALLY FALL FURTHER OR DO YOU THINK THE BOTTOM IS IN I'D BE REALLY CURIOUS ABOUT THIS SO SEE