Hook

Their other posts in the index, biggest breakout first.
Why are my people so degenerate? People in Korea are cancelling their life insurance policies at a loss just to buy stocks before the rally's over. Follow along because this one gets a lot worse the more I talk. So this year Samsung and SK Hynix together became worth more than Korea's entire GDP. The KOSPI, basically Korea's version of the S&P, is up over 85% this year. New record highs. It's the best performing major index in the world and people don't want to miss it. Insurance surrenders, so people who want to give up their insurance to cash out at the top three largest life insurance firms in Korea hit 4.9 trillion won, that's around $3.3 billion, in the first quarter alone. People are literally cancelling their policies at a loss just to cash into the market. On top of that, policy loans, basically borrowing against your own insurance, 32 trillion won, over $20 billion. Here's where it gets worse. It's going into just two stocks through products that are designed to multiply that bet. And it's not just individuals doing this. This is the level of degeneracy happening in Korea. Korea's national pension fund, the biggest one in the whole world, has one rule. When a single stock becomes too large within the overall portfolio, they're supposed to automatically sell some off to rebalance. Except back in January, they suspended that rule so they can keep riding this rally instead. Good old Barclays did the math, and if the fund kept its own rule, it would have sold off roughly 130 trillion won, that's around $84 billion, back in May. But instead, none of that hit the market. 14 new leveraged ETFs launched at the end of May. And here's how they work. If Samsung or SK Hynix goes up 1% in a day, you make 2%. If it drops 1%, you lose 2%. One of these funds became the single most traded ETF in the entire country, traded more than the fund that tracks the entire KOSPI 200. Then in June, a strong US jobs report made a Fed interest rate hike likely. Then the KOSPI drops another 8.3% in a single day. Trading actually got paused for several minutes. That's called a circuit breaker. It's designed to stop a full panic, but it's also a sign of how violent that swing was. Three weeks later, the won hit a 17-year low. And even after watching all of this happen, investors put in another 1.6 trillion won, it's around $1 billion, into those same funds in the first four days of July. Then Samsung actually delivers. On the 7th of July, record preliminary earnings, and Samsung stock dropped 7% that day. It's a classic sell the news move. Those earnings gave investors a good excuse to start taking profit. The next day, the drop spreads across the whole chip sector. And here's the part that catches people out. So if we zoom out over the entire stretch, from early June to early July, SK Hynix stock fell over 7%, and that leveraged ETF tracking it fell over 31% over the same stretch. Now I know what you're thinking, it should be 14%, right? But you'd be wrong. Here's why. These funds don't double your gains or losses over time. They double it every single day, then compound that. So when a stock swings up, then down, then up again, instead of just trending to one direction, those daily doublings stack up on each other and eat away at your money way faster than if the stock was just falling. Now if you stretch that over a whole month of swings like that, then those gaps are going to compound. That's what wiped out the extra 17%. So cancelling your insurance to make a 2x leverage bet on two single companies is not investing, it's gambling with extra steps. And the scary and degenerate part isn't that people keep doing this and losing money, it's that funds managing people's pensions did the same exact shit. Follow for more.