Hook

Their other posts in the index, biggest breakout first.
10-20% chance that killer robots mean the end of humanity? That's a high P doom as they say. Well, in the long run we're all dead, of course. You know, according to the standard model of physics, the end of the universe is a long, boring, sort of thin, gray soup of gradual cooling. Meaning, the heat death of the universe is called. So, now if the heat death of the universe is in fact the outcome for our reality, then it really is all about the journey. Because the destination is terrible. But 10 years is not very- I get that, but that could be a long way ahead. And you're basically saying- very long way. If it's 10 to 20% in 10 years, would you go into one of your rockets if you thought there was a 10 to 20% chance of it blowing up and killing you? Yes, but- but let's say there's- you can't do anything about it. I guess the only thing we can try to do is minimize the probability of the bad outcome. But trying to stop the intelligence in robots- I mean, for the longest time I declined to participate in AI or was, you know, created OpenAI as a essentially a counterweight to Google, because at the time they were, more or less, a monopoly on AI. In creating OpenAI and then having Anthropic spin out of that and now currently Anthropic's the leader in AI, I mean, these actions have actually resulted in knock-on effects that accelerated AI, which wasn't really my intention. So, it just seems like all roads lead to acceleration of AI. So then I'm like, okay, well, you could just sort of be sad about it or join the club, I suppose. Well, you've certainly joined the club. Yeah. So then- You've definitely joined the club. If you can't beat 'em, join 'em, you know. A number of the other leaders of model makers have been pushing for different ways to try and minimize the risks.