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In the next few years, luxury brands are gonna put an end to dupe fragrances, copying them. I have an industry secret that I'm about to spill, part 7. Every time a luxury fragrance is introduced into the market, we already are asking, when is the dupe coming? And luxury brands are noticing this too. Dupes can actually put a fragrance into GCMS. I made a whole video about it before and they can identify what types of scents and profiles that they're getting from this fragrance. GCMS doesn't actually print out the recipe for that fragrance. It maybe tells you about some of the materials, those quantities. The analyst still have to interpret the data, identify overlapping molecules to reconstruct how that formula is gonna behave on your skin. That requires highly skilled analytical chemists, perfumers, evaluators. That shit's expensive as hell. Then the dupe house has to actually source those materials and decide if making this dupe is gonna end up becoming profitable and sometimes it's just not. There's an even bigger problem, captive materials. A captive is a proprietary fragrance ingredient that's controlled by the fragrance company. Outside perfumers, they can maybe detect it and really maybe understand what it smells like, but they can never actually buy it. They can imitate its effect, something similar, but they can't use that exact ingredient. That's why I think the next generation of fragrances is not just gonna rely on one captive material, they're gonna start stacking and layering a bunch of captivates one on top of another. Just so it's impossible for these dupe houses to be able to reverse engineer at least convincingly. Bois Imperial is an early example of this strategy. It's not just that it's built through Akigalawood, Georgewood, petalia and ambarfix each of those giving it a different spicy, floral, cedar like or ambery dimension. And it doesn't mean that another house couldn't try to recreate that, but reproducing its exact texture, diffusion and movement is much harder than copying the basic notes in that pyramid. And fragrance manufacturers are definitely going in this direction. Just look at the stats. They're expanding both the development and use of captive materials. In 2018, only 7% of all the fragrances that were comprised contained the captives. But now it's almost at 50%. This year CPL Aroma, which is currently in the fragrance news, introduced two brand new captive ingredients, Cypreline and VetiWood. This tells me that this isn't just about creating new smells anymore, it's about creating fragrances that are insanely hard to replicate because the building blocks aren't available to everyone. Dupe houses may change the economics of fragrances, but fragrance houses are changing the chemistry of it. Instead of asking, who's gonna dupe this? Maybe we should ask, can they?