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Kronos: A Foundation Model for the Language of Financial Markets - shiyu-coder/Kronos
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A $30,000 software that Wall Street has depended on for years just got replaced by a free GitHub model that reads stock data like a language. Next-level trading bot innovation. Kronos is a foundation model trained on 12B+ candlestick records from 45+ exchanges. It takes OHLCHV candles in, outputs predicted candles out. Temperature sampling lets you generate 50-100 different forecast trajectories per run. Polymarket has 3,455 active crypto markets. $83M+ volume. Most resolve on Binance BTC/USDT 1-min candle data, the exact same format Kronos was trained on. The method: Pull 480 candles from Binance (free via ccxt). Run Kronos 100 times with temperature sampling. Count how many trajectories cross the strike price. 68 out of 100 cross $75K - your estimate is 68%. Polymarket prices it at 75%. Kronos doesn't look at charts the way you do. It takes raw candlestick data, the opens, closes, highs, lows, and volume, and converts it into tokens, the same way ChatGPT turns words into tokens. Except this isn't reading English. It's reading the language of financial markets. And the model is completely free. Wall Street firms have spent billions building proprietary models like this. A group of researchers just gave it away. Comment Kronos and I'll DM you the link.